Thursday, February 23, 2012

Not Trading Forex Yet? Big Mistake! - By Reymount


Forex trading popularity is on the rise. Many investors and curious bystanders are now turning to currency exchange. What is so attractive about forex? Why is it a comfortable way of investment? Why is forex the talk of the day? 

Forex market is the largest and most liquid market in the world. Lots of big corporations are taking part – banks, currency speculators, government, and financial institutions. Along with big fish, there are traders like you and I, who slowly but surely take part in the $3 trillion daily turnover.

What is so attractive about forex anyway? What made you enter the market arena?

1.    Trade Any Time, Any Day!
In the beginning, several years ago, before turning forex to a full-time career, I traded part-time. The greatest thing about this investment is that you can turn it to fit your needs. The fact that forex market is up and running for 24 hours, it is continuous and volatile,  makes it possible to enter trades when It best suits you and still make generous chunks of money without the need to search the market for opportunities 24/7. 

2.    Control Large Sums of Money
A very important feature in trading is leverage. All forex brokers allow traders to use leverage, which is basically a loan that allows you to trade much more money than you actually have in the trading account. For example, if the leverage is 100: 1, you can trade $100 for every $1 in your account. This also means, you can trade $100,000 having just $1,000 of your own capital. 

3.    Even Small Movements Means Profit
Forex is all about liquidity. Large sums of money are getting in and out of the market even with minimal price movements. Besides, you can choose the direction of your trading decisions. If you believe that the currency pair is going up – buy it! If you think that the currency pair is likely to fall in price, sell it!

4.    Relatively Low Fees

We all know that brokers get their commissions via spreads. So since there is no transaction fee, there are fewer expenses for an average trader. There might be some extra fees here and there, but it is generally quite low compared to other commodities and stock market fees.

5.    Practice Makes Perfect

My favorite feature in online currency trading is the ability to practice. All forex brokers offer free demo accounts to all traders. On top of that, many have courses and webinars for free or for rather small fee. Mini accounts with very small minimum deposit requirements are also great for practicing. You can get the feel of the market without potentially devastating losses.

6.    Money and Risk Management

In forex, like in any other kind of investment, there is a chance of loss. I wouldn’t even use the word “chance”, because loss is the required part of the game! The good thing is that you can control your money and risk with stop/loss to limit losses based on irrational decisions.

7.    Trading Platforms and Tools
Today brokers constantly compete for reputation and customers. Every broker differ in one way or another – trading platforms are all different (whether in configuration, download or online, tools included, or user-friendly interface etc.), deposit requirements,  features and available tools are unlike, services and support is definitely unique. This colorful variety allows you to find what suits you best. 


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Greece on a diet for EUR recovery - By Reymount

The EUR returned to a level above 1.3230 after confidence was restored in the 17 country currency by the passing of the Greek bailout. Default is still on the horizon as the terms imposed on Greece are harsh and have drawn criticism from economists who warn that the lessons from Argentina should not be forgotten.

Greece has the difficult task of cutting its deficit from 160 percent of GDP down to 120 percent while in the midst of a recession. It is clear what the EU got out of this deal. Greece is likely to default as the social pressure will be too intense and the proposed tax increases and wage cuts will bring protest to the streets.
The real winners are Italy and Spain which get to decrease their yields as the ECB has bought them time.  Spain’s 10 year bond yield is 5.08 percent down from last year’s high of 6.7 percent . Italy’s 10 year yield is down to 5.4 percent down from 7.1 in December. Will this extra time be used wisely is the question?
Which leads to the uncertain part of the deal. Greece is the first of the so called PIGS to be in this position, not the last. Portugal, Italy and Spain are expected to join if they cannot get their economies in order. But that is easier said than done as proved by Greece. The EU hopes that Greece (the smallest of the PIGS) is the example that the other’s will follow, and worst case scenario will serve as the example of what not implementing austerity measures in the first place will get you.

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Wednesday, February 22, 2012

Forex Technical Analysis for Week 02/20—02/24 By Reymount

Floor Pivot Points
Pair 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res
EUR/USD 1.2674 1.2824 1.2984 1.3134 1.3294 1.3444 1.3604
GBP/USD 1.5475 1.5559 1.5692 1.5776 1.5909 1.5993 1.6126
USD/JPY 75.80 76.58 78.06 78.84 80.32 81.10 82.58
EUR/JPY 99.82 100.81 102.68 103.67 105.54 106.53 108.40
GBP/JPY 118.61 120.14 122.99 124.52 127.37 128.90 131.75
Woodie’s Pivot Points
Pair 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res
EUR/USD 1.2827 1.2989 1.3137 1.3299 1.3447
GBP/USD 1.5571 1.5716 1.5788 1.5933 1.6005
USD/JPY 76.76 78.42 79.02 80.68 81.28
EUR/JPY 101.03 103.12 103.89 105.98 106.75
GBP/JPY 120.47 123.65 124.85 128.03 129.23
Camarilla Pivot Points
Pair 4th Sup 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res 4th Res
EUR/USD 1.2974 1.3059 1.3087 1.3116 1.3172 1.3201 1.3229 1.3315
GBP/USD 1.5705 1.5764 1.5784 1.5804 1.5844 1.5864 1.5884 1.5943
USD/JPY 78.31 78.93 79.14 79.34 79.76 79.96 80.17 80.79
EUR/JPY 102.98 103.76 104.03 104.29 104.81 105.07 105.34 106.12
GBP/JPY 123.43 124.64 125.04 125.44 126.24 126.64 127.04 128.25
Tom DeMark’s Pivot Points
Pair EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY GBP/JPY
Resistance 1.3214 1.5951 80.71 106.04 128.14
Support 1.2904 1.5734 78.45 103.18 123.76
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Pairs EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY GBP/JPY
100.0% 1.3284 1.5861 79.61 104.66 126.05
61.8% 1.3166 1.5778 78.75 103.57 124.38
50.0% 1.3129 1.5753 78.48 103.23 123.86
38.2% 1.3092 1.5727 78.21 102.89 123.34
23.6% 1.3047 1.5695 77.88 102.47 122.70
0.0% 1.2974 1.5644 77.35 101.80 121.67                                                      

GBP/JPY — Double Bottom (Sort of) on Weekly By Reymount

GBP/JPY has formed a pattern that looks like a double bottom on its weekly Forex chart. It ends the descending trend wave that has started back in August 2009, which itself is a part of the longer downtrend with beginning in July 2007. The pattern isn’t perfect — the second bottom isn’t exactly on the same horizontal line as the first one, and the price haven’t rose to the initial point of the pattern yet, so it may still form symmetrical triangles, a continuation pattern. But, nonetheless, it’s a good a setup if you don’t jump into a trade right away.
I use the horizontal channel setup as the entry/exit system for this double bottom pattern. The borders of the ”channel” are marked with the yellow lines on the image below. The entry points (cyan lines) are located at +/-10% of the ”channel’s” height. Green lines show the probable targets of the breakout trades — they are located at +/-100% of the ”channel’s” height. Stop-loss can be set to the low/high of the breakout bar or the bar preceding the breakout. You can click on the image to get the full-size chart:
GBP/JPY Double Bottom Pattern on Weekly Chart as of 2012-02-19


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